Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.664034 1.937407 2.221385 2.536847 2.875996 3.228281 3.620520
2024-12-15 1.198992 1.571922 1.983121 2.463433 3.002902 3.584639 4.254133
2024-12-22 0.952775 1.368892 1.848354 2.428031 3.097742 3.836679 4.703738
2024-12-29 0.798609 1.249804 1.790698 2.464075 3.260093 4.154328 5.219216
2025-01-05 0.668444 1.139348 1.725858 2.475862 3.380556 4.412618 5.656878
2025-01-12 0.541684 1.015868 1.631315 2.440225 3.435627 4.588053 5.993620
2025-01-19 0.498053 0.998442 1.666226 2.559626 3.672821 4.973336 6.570647
2025-01-26 0.463030 0.988058 1.706748 2.683416 3.913566 5.361812 7.151045
2025-02-02 0.437639 0.988106 1.758694 2.820021 4.168976 5.767253 7.751389
2025-02-09 0.421632 0.999932 1.825101 2.974335 4.445893 6.198456 8.382564
2025-02-16 0.386985 0.978176 1.842424 3.062757 4.639503 6.529025 8.894720
2025-02-23 0.338320 0.927623 1.815364 3.089728 4.753837 6.762476 9.290712
2025-03-02 0.261746 0.822576 1.709163 3.014500 4.746271 6.858817 9.538427
2025-03-09 0.196312 0.724680 1.605961 2.938383 4.734735 6.949236 9.779490
2025-03-16 0.150065 0.652135 1.533330 2.897678 4.762932 7.083071 10.067249
2025-03-23 0.125082 0.618973 1.519630 2.938017 4.896116 7.346782 10.512498
2025-03-30 0.099411 0.577325 1.488505 2.950840 4.991104 7.561541 10.897300
2025-04-06 0.071093 0.518797 1.424035 2.911565 5.013942 7.683743 11.167478
2025-04-13 0.067181 0.527607 1.475271 3.043251 5.267514 8.098440 11.798105
2025-04-20 0.064082 0.538175 1.529485 3.179541 5.527710 8.522122 12.440617
2025-04-27 0.062674 0.553778 1.592720 3.329636 5.807140 8.970901 13.114952
2025-05-04 0.063328 0.576198 1.668399 3.498849 6.113152 9.454212 13.832826
2025-05-11 0.056667 0.572398 1.696252 3.595654 6.320407 9.811843 14.395761